A Reverse Expected Shortfall Optimization Formula

نویسندگان

چکیده

The celebrated Expected Shortfall (ES) optimization formula implies that ES at a fixed probability level is the minimum of linear real function plus scaled mean excess function. We establish reverse formula, which says any threshold maximum an curve minus Despite being simple result, this reveals elegant symmetries between and curve, as well their optimizers. closely related to Fenchel-Legendre transforms, our formulas are generalized from optimized certainty equivalents, popular class convex risk measures. analyze worst-case values under two settings model uncertainty illustrate usefulness further demonstrated with application using insurance datasets.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Expected Shortfall and Beyond

Abstract. Financial institutions have to allocate so-called economic capital in order to guarantee solvency to their clients and counter parties. Mathematically speaking, any methodology of allocating capital is a risk measure, i.e. a function mapping random variables to the real numbers. Nowadays value-atrisk, which is defined as a fixed level quantile of the random variable under consideratio...

متن کامل

Optimization of performance measures based on Expected Shortfall

We explain how to optimize portfolios with respect to RORAC and RORC based on Expected Shortfall. Recent results from the theories of performance measurement and Swarm Intelligence are used for numeric optimization. We combine and correlate geometric Brownian motions for stocks with a two-factor Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR-2) model for interest rates such that portfolios of bonds and stocks can be ...

متن کامل

Nonparametric Estimation of Expected Shortfall

The paper evaluates the properties of nonparametric estimators of the expected shortfall, an increasingly popular risk measure in financial risk management. It is found that the existing kernel estimator based on a single bandwidth does not offer variance reduction, which is surprising considering that kernel smoothing reduces the variance of estimators for the value at risk and the distributio...

متن کامل

Model Risk of Expected Shortfall

In this paper we study the model risk of Expected Shortfall (ES), extending the results of Boucher et al. (2014) on model risk of Value-at-Risk (VaR). We propose a correction formula for ES based on passing three backtests. Our results show that for the DJIA index, the smallest corrections are required for the ES estimates built using GARCH models. Furthermore, the 2.5% ES requires smaller corr...

متن کامل

Expected shortfall estimation using kernel machines †

In this paper we study four kernel machines for estimating expected shortfall, which are constructed through combinations of support vector quantile regression (SVQR), restricted SVQR (RSVQR), least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) and support vector expectile regression (SVER). These kernel machines have obvious advantages such that they achieve nonlinear model but they do not require t...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Social Science Research Network

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1556-5068']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4092939